Page 172 - ΝΑΥΤΙΚΑ ΧΡΟΝΙΚΑ - ΟΚΤΩΒΡΙΟΣ 2024
P. 172

CARBON MARKETS


                                                                         on things like registry use, new contracts,
                                                                         price volatility, and the ability to pass costs
                                                                         through to customers.

                                                                         ❻      What do shipping companies need
                                                                                to be aware of in future?
                                                                         One significant development is the potential
                                                                         inclusion of shipping in the UK’s ETS market
                                                                         in 2027. This is a separate carbon market in
                                                                         the UK only, which followed the UK’s exit
                                                                         from the EU. It is very similar to the EU ETS
                                                                         and very much mirrors the main components
                                                                         of the EU scheme, but there are important
                                                                         differences. UK Allowances (UKAs) are a dif-
                             Shipping companies are                      ferent underlying compliance instrument; the
                      familiarising themselves with the                  compliance deadlines are different, and the
                      market dynamics and taking a slow                  UK’s carbon market is less liquid due to its
                       approach to their procurement of                  smaller size.
                                 EU Allowances.
                                                                         ❼      What are your thoughts on the cur-
                                                                                rent EU carbon permit price, and
                                                                                how do you see it evolving in the
                                                                                near future?
                                                                         Carbon prices are relatively soft now, so this
                                                                         is probably a good opportunity to acquire vol-
                                                                         ume at a favourable price. In recent years,
                                                                         we have seen EUA prices move in a range of
                                                                         approximately €50 to €100 per metric tonne,
                                                                         but there is real potential for prices to move
                                                                         much higher. Some price predictions from
                                                                         2026 onwards are above €100 per tonne. A
                                                                         higher price over time is something that all
                                                                         analysts in the market agree on, as the sup-
                                   an approved and independent verification   ply of allowances under the EU ETS is set to
                                   and inspection company to verify their emis-  become much tighter in the future due to the
                                   sions each year. Then, they must make sure   EU wanting to fully decarbonise its industry
                                   they purchase enough carbon allowances   by 2040.
                                   (called EU Allowances, or EUAs) to cover
                                   that volume of emissions. So, they need to   ❽  What is your overall approach to
                                   become familiar with how to buy carbon       helping companies?
                                   allowances and how to surrender them to   Our core team has been trading carbon allow-
                                   cover their verified 2024 emissions before   ances since 2004, so we have over 20 years
                                   the 30 September 2025 deadline.       of experience in the carbon market, more
                                                                         than any other team out there. That means
                                   ❺      What similarities do  you see   we know what companies need to do and
                                          between the shipping sector and   how and when they should do it. We work
                                          other sectors in the EU ETS?   very closely with our clients to help them
                                   Shipping is the second transport sector to   manage their exposure by ensuring that they
                                   enter the EU ETS, following the aviation sec-  have the tools and understanding to make
                                   tor, which entered the scheme in 2012. Both   well-informed decisions. We also provide
                                   account for roughly 3% of global greenhouse   them with a knowledgeable and efficient
                                   gas (GHG) emissions. Shipping companies   carbon allowance procurement service. By
                                   are behaving in a similar way to how airlines   offering them a tailor-made approach, they
                                   did in 2012: they are familiarising themselves   avoid becoming non-compliant, and we are
                                   with the market dynamics and taking a slow   able to help them make decisions that are
                                   approach to their procurement of EU Allow-  cost-effective and appropriate for their spe-
                                   ances. There is also an element of discovery   cific needs.


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