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ON THE SEAFRONT



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              ON                                            SURVEY SUGGESTS A MULTI-FUEL FUTURE FOR



                                                            THE SHIPPING INDUSTRY ON THE PATH TO ZERO
                                                            EMISSIONS
                                                            Encouraged by regulation, customer demand, investor pres-
                                                            sure, and internal goals, shipping companies are searching
                                                            for ways to find greener fuel alternatives and reduce their
                                                            greenhouse gas emissions by 2050.
                             Edited by:                     To understand how shipping industry leaders are thinking
                             Giannis Theodoropoulos,        about future fuels and what their plans and projections are
                             Manos Charitos                 to adopt cleaner fuels and efficiency-boosting technologies,
                                                            the Global Maritime Forum, the Global Centre for Maritime
                                                            Decarbonisation, and the Mærsk McKinney Møller Center for
                                                            Zero Carbon Shipping conducted a survey of major shipping
                                                            companies, with analytical support by McKinsey & Company.
                                                            As the shipping industry is in a period of experimentation and
                                                            exploration to understand the implications of adopting differ-
                                                            ent green fuels, surveys like this play a crucial role in informing
                                                            the industry and the public and supporting shipping’s transi-
                                                            tion to a zero-emissions future,’’ says Professor Lynn Loo, CEO
                                                            of the Global Centre for Maritime Decarbonisation.
                                                            The most striking result from the survey is a multi-fuel future:
                                                            the need to prepare for fleets operating on three or more
                                                            fuel “families.’’ The most common mix by 2050, represented
                                                            by forty-five per cent of respondents, is a fleet concurrently
                                                            running vessels on fuel oil/biodiesel, methane, methanol, and
                                                            ammonia—a step-change in fuel diversity.
                                                            Other survey findings suggest that internal combustion
                                                            engines will remain the preferred technology through 2050
                                                            and that the speed of the shipping industry’s adoption of
                                                            alternative fuels will be a function of the cost gap with fossil
                                                            fuels and the degree of availability of such greener alterna-
                                                            tives at ports worldwide.
                                                            Ports and bunker suppliers might prioritise the availability
                                                            of individual fuels in the short term. But in the longer-term,
                                                            ports that wish to attract the greatest possible number of
                                                            future vessels should prepare for the need to offer multiple
                                                            fuel types.
         THE                                                ers and regulators can help close the cost gap between green
                                                            The single most important factor in fuel choice will likely be
                                                            the rate of decarbonisation required by regulators. Policymak-

                                                            and fossil fuels and create a “level playing field” for all ship-
                                                            ping companies to accelerate their adoption of green fuels.


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