Page 194 - ΝΑΥΤΙΚΑ ΧΡΟΝΙΚΑ - ΜΑΙΟΣ 2023
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COMMODITIES



         be sold at lower prices on the international mar-  been replaced by recent field developments in
         kets, improving the factors that create demand   other sections of the Sureste Basin, such as the
         and supply equilibrium while limiting Moscow’s   133,000 b/d from the Quesqui field in 2022.
         revenues.                                 Historically, Mexico’s petroleum and liquid fuels
         However, the latest estimates on Russian Urals’   production outpaced its domestic use, making
         prices exceed, in some cases, $60/barrel, thus   Mexico a net exporter of petroleum and liquid
         placing them in a grey zone. In this context, a   fuels. However, when Mexico’s output declined
         recent report by Gibson Shipbrokers examines   to 1.9 million b/d in 2019, consumption exceeded
         the possibility that this development will dis-  production for the first time. Mexico was a net
         courage the transport of Russian oil. After all,   importer for only one year because of a sharp
         if prices exceed the threshold, ships –and, by  decrease in petroleum consumption in 2020. In
         extension, companies– carrying Russian energy   2022, the post-pandemic economic recovery led
         goods can be considered to be in breach of  consumption and production to each end of the
         the sanctions imposed. At the moment, however,   year at about 1.9 million b/d, according to our
         the number of ships carrying Russian oil does not   STEO.
         seem to be decreasing, but on the contrary, they   Woodside Energy, an Australian firm, has commit-
         are increasing.                           ted to producing Mexico’s first deepwater oil in
         At the same time, the price rise is a concern for   the Trion field. The Gulf of Mexico could provide
         ships carrying Russian oil companies offering  significant potential for deepwater production if
         insurance and other services to those ships, and   Mexico’s large offshore shallow-water production
         even companies that provide oil transportation   in the Gulf of Mexico is any indication of its deep-
         through pipelines.                        sea reserves. The Mexican government has plans
         In this context, the US Treasury Department has   to capitalise on deep-sea reserves, and future
         issued a warning to US companies, noting that   development plans make additional growth in
         they may unknowingly have provided services to   private investment likely.
         transport Russian oil not sold within the limits
         of the cap. Reuters reports that fines cannot be  LIQUEFIED NATURAL GAS (LNG)
         ruled out if companies fail to take appropriate
         action.                                   Sinopec to join Qatar’s mega-project
                                                   China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation signed
         Output in Mexico stabilises after years of   an equity participation agreement with QatarEn-
         decline                                   ergy on 12 April to take 1.25 per cent shares in
         After nearly two decades of steady decline, Mex-  Qatar’s North Field East (NFE) expansion proj-
         ico’s petroleum and liquid fuels production has   ect, currently the largest Liquefied Natural Gas
         remained stable since 2019. As the US Energy   (LNG) project in the world.
         Information  Administration (EIA) forecasts,  The event marks another milestone after Sino-
         production in Mexico will remain relatively flat   pec and QatarEnergy inked a 27-year long-term
         through 2024. Private companies have increased   LNG purchase and sales agreement in November
         petroleum production in Mexico over the past   2022 for the annual supply of 4 million tons of
         five years. In 2022, Mexican government data   LNG to Sinopec and achieved integrated coop-
         show that private production contributed more  eration on the NFE expansion project.
         than 5% of Mexico’s total, a large increase from   Sinopec Chairman Yongsheng Ma and Qatari
         the 0.5% oil contribution that private companies   Minister of State for Energy Affairs, President and
         produced in 2016.                         CEO of QatarEnergy, H.E. Saad Sherida Al-Kaabi,
         Mexico’s petroleum and liquid fuels produc-  formally signed the agreement at a signing cer-
         tion peaked at 3.9 million barrels per day (b/d)   emony in QatarEnergy’s headquarters in Doha.
         in 2004 and decreased yearly until 2019 when   “QatarEnergy, a world-leading LNG producer,
         production stabilised around 1.9 million b/d.  is one of Sinopec’s most important partners;
         According to EIA’s Short-Term Energy Outlook   the cooperation between the two companies
         (STEO), petroleum and liquid fuels production   will further optimise China’s energy consump-
         in Mexico is expected to remain at about 1.9  tion pattern and improve the security, stability,
         million b/d through to the end of 2024. Several   and reliability of clean energy supply. With the
         dynamics have led to production stability. For   solid foundation of our partnership, we hope to
         example, decreasing production of the histori-  explore new LNG collaboration opportunities
         cally top-producing shallow-water fields of the   and expand new grounds for cooperation to
         Sureste Basin (formerly known as the Campeche   achieve mutual benefit and win-win progress,”
         Basin) on the south-eastern coast of Mexico has   said Ma.


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