Page 43 - ΝΑΥΤΙΚΑ ΧΡΟΝΙΚΑ - ΟΚΤΩΒΡΙΟΣ 2024
P. 43

Currently, the marine insurance industry is in a relatively
                                                                   good place. Our own statistics reporting on the 2023
                                                                   underwriting year show that global insurance premiums
                                                                   for cargo, hull, offshore energy, and liability (excluding
                                                                   International Group P&I business) reached USD 38.9
                                                                   billion, representing an uplift of 5.9% on the previous
                                                                   year. Driving this was the continued growth in global
                                                                   trade, a healthy oil price, and increases in vessel values.
                                                                   The flip side of the equation is the amount we pay out in
                                                                   claims. Despite some major losses, the impact of claims
                                                                   has been relatively benign in recent years. This filters
                                                                   down to our loss ratios or profitability. In general terms,
                                                                   the loss ratio is the total of premiums earned less the
                                                                   amount paid out in claims. To remain viable, an insur-
                                                                   ance company needs to achieve technical break-even
                                                                   (i.e., claims costs must not exceed premiums earned)
                                                                   minus acquisition costs, capital costs, management
                                                                   expenses, and other overheads. In 2023, we reported
                                                                   positive and relatively stable loss ratios across all lines
                                                                   of business.
                                                                   Although this is good news, we are fully aware of some
                                                                   significant headwinds to our business that have already
                                                                   begun to make themselves known.
                                                                   Perhaps the most impactful yet volatile driver of change
                                                                   is the rise of geopolitical tensions across the world.
                                                                   War risks, sanctions, and embargoes are increasing,
                                                                   affecting traditional shipping routes and disrupting
                                                                   international trade. The Russia-Ukraine war and the
                                                                   situation in the Red Sea are obvious examples. However,
                                                                   I am pleased to report that marine underwriters have
                                                                   been able to provide continuous insurance cover, allow-
                                                                   ing shipowners to continue operating in these regions
                                                                   should they choose to do so. Around 50% of shipping
                                                                   is now opting to avoid the Red Sea and take the longer
                                                                   route around Africa. Marine insurers support this action
                                                                   and are fully aware of the associated impact on crew,
                                                                   the navigational challenges and, of course, the financial
                                                                   and environmental concerns.
                                                                   Sadly, sanctions have created the so-called “dark fleet”,
                                                                   where several shipowner operate under the radar with-
                                                                   out adequate insurance cover. This has the potential to
                                                                   impact other vessels or the natural environment should
                                                                   a collision or spill occur.
                                                                   Changes are also affecting the evolution of global mar-
                                                                   kets and their associated supply chains. Protectionism
                                                                   is increasingly leading to the new trend of “nearshor-
                                                                   ing”, i.e. goods being manufactured on the doorstep of
                                                                   their purchasing base. Perhaps this heralds the end of
                                                                   globalisation and a shrinking of the world. As underwrit-
                                                                   ers, we are no longer free to write business anywhere
                                                                   in the world and vessel and cargo owners are similarly
                                                                   restricted as to the location in which they may place
                                                                   their insurance. Trade restrictions might well lead to a
                                                                   reduction in world trade and a consequent decrease in
                                                                   marine insurance business.
                                                                   Aside from this, society’s transition to a greener future
                                                                   is poised to exert a significant influence on our busi-


                                                                                                             43
   38   39   40   41   42   43   44   45   46   47   48