Page 40 - ΝΑΥΤΙΚΑ ΧΡΟΝΙΚΑ - SEPT 2025
P. 40

Shipping markets


                                                                              Through our subsidiary, BW LPG India,
                                                                              which owns and operates  the larg-
                                                                              est fleet of Indian-flagged  VLGCs,
                                                                              we have gained valuable experi-
                                                                              ence in the Indian LPG market and
                                                                              are firm believers in the fuel’s prospects
                                                                              in India. We are also seeing signs that
                                                                              India is looking to diversify its energy
                                                                              sources by importing more from the US,
                                                                              which in turn is increasing its shipping
                                                                              capacity.

                                                                              What are the prospects for the
                                                                                 ammonia/VLAC  market? What
                                                                                 challenges should be addressed
                                                                                 for ammonia to be considered a
                                                                                 viable marine fuel option?
                                                                              The development of the VLAC mar-
                                                                              ket is closely tied to the realisation of
                                                                              large-scale blue ammonia projects in
                                                                              the US over the coming years. A key
                                                                              enabler for this will be the establishment
                                                                              of long-term offtake agreements with
                                                                              importers in the Far East, which would
                                           and corporate investment decisions.   drive demand for long-haul transporta-
                                           That said, the current political environ-  tion of ammonia in significant volumes,
                                           ment under President Trump appears   suitable for VLAC deployment.
                                           more favourable for permitting new   At present, the ammonia trade is effec-
                                           natural gas and crude oil projects. This   tively served by midsize and handysize
                                           could, in turn, lead to increased LPG   LPG carriers, and most of the existing
                                           availability for export.          onshore infrastructure is not yet con-
                                           Moreover, we view the planned invest-  figured to accommodate VLACs. Over-
                                           ments by US export terminal operators   all, the pace of growth in the ammonia
                                           as a positive sign for the future growth   trade has been slower  than initially
                                           of LPG exports, as they are expected    anticipated and remains reliant on
                                           to support a sustained demand for LPG   supportive policy measures, such as
                                           shipping capacity.                the US Inflation Reduction Act (IRA),
                                                                             to gain momentum.
                                           Why is BW LPG enhancing its presence   From a technical perspective, the LPG
                                               in the Indian market? What are   shipping industry has decades of expe-
                                               India's prospects in the seaborne   rience  handling  ammonia  as  cargo.
                                               LPG trade?                    However, for ammonia  to become
                                           India is the second-largest importer     a viable marine fuel, several consider-
                                           of LPG, where it is primarily used   able challenges must be addressed,
                                           for heating and cooking. The coun-  including the  commercialisation
                                           try already accounts for 50% of LPG   of ammonia-compatible propulsion
                                           exports from  the Middle East, and   technology and engines, the resolution
                                           with  the world’s largest population     of safety concerns related to its use,
                                           on a path toward prosperity, its energy   and the establishment of a cost-com-
                                           needs are expected to grow. LPG fits   petitive fuel supply chain.  The new
                                           well into India’s energy mix – it is easy   emission regulations are beginning
                                           to distribute, competitively priced,   to  support this  transition  through
                                           and a versatile energy source. Due to   a combination of taxes and subsidies,
                                           this versatility, we anticipate that India    and we remain cautiously optimistic that
                                           will use additional LPG as feedstock for   a technically and economically viable
                                           its growing petrochemical industry, sim-  pathway will emerge.
                                           ilar to what we’ve seen in China.

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